graph of gas price increase
From the mid-1980s to September 2003, the inflation adjusted price of a barrel of crude oil on NYMEX was generally under $25/barrel. Then during 2004, the price rose above $40, and then $50. A series of events led the price to exceed $60 by August 11, 2005, and then briefly exceed $75 in the middle of 2006. Prices then dropped back to $60/barrel by the early part of 2007 before rising steeply again to $92/barrel by October 2007, and $99.29/barrel for December futures in New York on November 21, 2007.[1] Throughout the first half of 2008, oil regularly reached record high prices. On February 29, 2008, oil prices peaked at $103.05 per barrel,[2] and reached $110.20 on March 12, 2008,[3] the sixth record in seven trading days.[4][5] Prices on June 27, 2008, touched $141.71/barrel, for August delivery in the New York Mercantile Exchange (after the recent $140.56/barrel), amid Libya's threat to cut output, and OPEC's president predicted prices may reach $170 by the Northern summer.[6][7] The most recent price per barrel maximum of $147.02 was reached on July 11, 2008.[8]....
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Q: Why did gas prices increase and then decrease and where can I find a graph or chart on it?
It's for a science project me and a partner are working on. Please help! Web links are welcome! ;-)
A:You can believe all the conspiracy theories, or you can believe the real economic reasons.
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Gas prices always fall after the summer driving season is over (demand decreases). They always rise for the winter (oil supplies are use to produce heating oil as opposed to gas).
The large increase/decrease this year was caused by two abnormal events.
FIRST:
Last summer two hurricanes (Rita & Katrina) swept through the Gulf of Mexico. A large amount of supplies were knocked offline due to all the damage of offshore drilling rigs. Oil infrastructure was also damaged on land in South Louisiana.
>>This led to immediate price increases.
Due to the damage done supplies were being built up since the hurricanes of 2005. Everyone (environmentalist, National Hurricane Center) predicted another year of increased hurricane activity with major storms. This caused 2 things:
>Increased supply build-up for expected shortages
>Spectulators increasing the price of oil futures in anticipation of hurricane damage and shortages
What happened?
>Not one major hurricane in the Gulf and zero damage to oil infrastructure.
The rusult?
>A ton of supplies had been built up that hit the market and lowered priced.
>Speculators stopped bidding up the price of oil because no hurricanes caused damage like last year.
SECOND:
BP announced (beginning of August) that they found damage to pipelines and that Prudhoe Bay production would have to be temporarily shut down (decrease in supple causes increase in price)
Dire consequences were predicted. (not by BP, but by economic forecasters and media) This caused speculators to bid up oil futures(prices).
What happened?
>Some of the oil was rerouted and only half of production was stopped.
>Repairs did not take as long as anticipated and enough oil was rerouted so that full production has been completely restored
The Result?
>Speculators had no reason to speculate and oil futures dropped.
>Supplies disruptions were minimal.
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The link is a graph to oil per barrel prices, not gas prices.
http://www.wtrg.com/daily/crudeoilprice.html
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http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/06/09/business/20080609_GAS_GRAPHIC.html
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